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Independent basketball projections and scouting notes. Outputs are directional, not calibrated betting advice.
© 2026 Nothing But Bet
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June 7, 2026

Chicago Sky @ Toronto Tempo

Proj total 167.8Spread TOR -11.2

Chicago Sky (CHI)

Skylar Diggins30.914.64.35.20.964.3Blended · 8 games—
Natasha Cloud28.710.04.14.30.711.7Blended · 8 games—
Kamilla Cardoso28.114.910.52.50.003.4Blended · 9 games—
Jacy Sheldon26.38.11.62.00.910.9Blended · 9 games—
Azura Stevens24.09.33.23.20.351.9Blended · 4 games—
Elizabeth Williams16.54.54.71.20.001.5Blended · 9 games—
Sydney Taylor14.59.21.11.41.023.5Blended · 7 games—
Rachel Banham14.04.30.80.90.920.8Blended · 9 games—
Aicha Coulibaly11.43.41.50.50.001.2Blended · 6 games—
Saylor Poffenbarger5.60.01.30.00.000.02026-only—

Toronto Tempo (TOR)

Brittney Sykes32.219.63.83.91.216.8Blended · 10 games—
Kiki Rice29.714.04.92.91.074.5Blended · 10 games—
Marina Mabrey29.019.24.23.83.072.8Blended · 9 games—
Nyara Sabally24.111.05.01.60.492.3Blended · 7 games—
Laura Juskaite24.08.34.41.41.172.7Blended · 10 games—
Maria Conde17.15.22.90.71.160.5Blended · 9 games—
Julie Allemand14.02.22.02.10.340.3Blended · 5 games—
Kia Nurse8.83.40.90.40.610.6Blended · 10 games—
Teonni Key7.61.91.70.20.170.8Blended · 10 games—
Nikolina Milic7.02.21.10.30.000.4Blended · 6 games—
Mariella Fasoula3.61.10.70.20.000.0Blended · 3 games—
Tima Pouye2.91.40.00.00.001.42026-only—
Game writeup

TOR by 11.2 in a 167.8 total

Brittney Sykes is the first player-prop checkpoint, while the defense profile points to the strongest shot-zone funnels below.

Matchup levers

  • CHI gives up mid-range makes + free-throw volume. Chicago Sky shows positive make z-scores in mid-range makes (+1.31), free-throw volume (+0.48). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • CHI suppresses pick-and-roll makes. Chicago Sky is a negative matchup for pick-and-roll makes (-1.63). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.
  • TOR gives up right-corner 3s + rim makes. Toronto Tempo shows positive make z-scores in right-corner 3s (+2.27), rim makes (+1.90). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • TOR suppresses mid-range makes. Toronto Tempo is a negative matchup for mid-range makes (-1.16). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.

Game script

  • Total posture. The projection lands at 167.8, so this is more about player-specific funnels than a blind game-total over.
  • Side posture. TOR grades as the model side by 11.2. Team totals: CHI 78.3 and TOR 89.5.

Watch list

  • Refresh ESPN injury status before tip.
  • Compare player lines against the projection, not against season averages alone.
  • Downgrade rookies and traded players when the minutes projection is not confirmed by the starting lineup.

Caveats

  • Early-season samples are tiny; role assumptions matter as much as matchup math.
  • Defense profiles still include expansion priors and should be refit after each team has a larger 2026 sample.
  • These are directional model reads, not calibrated betting recommendations.
Inactives (7)

CHI

  • DiJonai Carrington
  • Maddy Westbeld
  • Rickea Jackson
  • Gabriela Jaquez
  • Courtney Vandersloot

TOR

  • Isabelle Harrison
  • Temi Fagbenle
Methodology / caveats

Generated from the weekly projection payload: blended baselines, 2026 form, injuries, and zone-defense profiles. Compare every lean to live market lines before treating it as actionable.