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Independent basketball projections and scouting notes. Outputs are directional, not calibrated betting advice.
© 2026 Nothing But Bet
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June 2, 2026

Chicago Sky @ Washington Mystics

Proj total 153.1Spread WSH -6.1

Chicago Sky (CHI)

Skylar Diggins30.914.44.35.21.094.7Blended · 8 games—
Natasha Cloud28.79.34.14.30.771.8Blended · 8 games—
Kamilla Cardoso28.112.610.52.50.003.7Blended · 9 games—
Jacy Sheldon26.37.71.62.01.001.0Blended · 9 games—
Azura Stevens24.07.93.23.20.352.1Blended · 4 games—
Elizabeth Williams16.54.34.71.20.001.6Blended · 9 games—
Sydney Taylor14.59.41.11.41.183.8Blended · 7 games—
Rachel Banham14.04.70.80.91.020.8Blended · 9 games—
Aicha Coulibaly11.43.21.50.50.001.2Blended · 6 games—
Saylor Poffenbarger5.60.01.30.00.000.02026-only—

Washington Mystics (WSH)

Sonia Citron32.616.13.43.01.024.0Blended · 8 games—
Kiki Iriafen26.214.59.71.40.554.4Blended · 9 games—
Shakira Austin25.814.87.82.40.314.9Blended · 8 games—
Cotie McMahon24.07.82.02.00.773.8Blended · 7 games—
Cassandre Prosper24.04.92.31.00.370.8Blended · 9 games—
Georgia Amoore12.93.50.62.00.621.1Blended · 9 games—
Michaela Onyenwere12.93.41.81.10.381.1Blended · 4 games—
Alicia Florez Getino12.03.91.12.30.181.42026-only—
Angela Dugalic7.92.92.30.50.220.6Blended · 9 games—
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs7.52.71.10.50.540.02026-only—
Lauren Betts6.92.81.40.30.001.1Blended · 9 games—
Lucy Olsen4.61.90.40.80.150.7Blended · 6 games—
Rori Harmon2.70.40.30.50.040.2Blended · 7 games—
Game writeup

WSH by 6.1 in a 153.1 total

Sonia Citron is the first player-prop checkpoint, while the defense profile points to the strongest shot-zone funnels below.

Matchup levers

  • CHI gives up mid-range makes + free-throw volume. Chicago Sky shows positive make z-scores in mid-range makes (+1.31), free-throw volume (+0.48). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • CHI suppresses pick-and-roll makes. Chicago Sky is a negative matchup for pick-and-roll makes (-1.63). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.
  • WSH gives up mid-range makes + above-break 3s. Washington Mystics shows positive make z-scores in mid-range makes (+1.08), above-break 3s (+0.96). Prioritize opposing players whose projections are already strong in those markets.
  • WSH suppresses rim makes. Washington Mystics is a negative matchup for rim makes (-1.56). Treat overs attached to that channel as price-sensitive.

Game script

  • Total posture. The projection lands at 153.1, so this is more about player-specific funnels than a blind game-total over.
  • Side posture. WSH grades as the model side by 6.1. Team totals: CHI 73.5 and WSH 79.6.

Watch list

  • Refresh ESPN injury status before tip.
  • Compare player lines against the projection, not against season averages alone.
  • Downgrade rookies and traded players when the minutes projection is not confirmed by the starting lineup.

Caveats

  • Early-season samples are tiny; role assumptions matter as much as matchup math.
  • Defense profiles still include expansion priors and should be refit after each team has a larger 2026 sample.
  • These are directional model reads, not calibrated betting recommendations.
Inactives (5)

CHI

  • DiJonai Carrington
  • Maddy Westbeld
  • Rickea Jackson
  • Gabriela Jaquez
  • Courtney Vandersloot

WSH

None reported.

Methodology / caveats

Generated from the weekly projection payload: blended baselines, 2026 form, injuries, and zone-defense profiles. Compare every lean to live market lines before treating it as actionable.